Form Ratings Free Strategy Guide
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Free Racing Tips for 19 Nov 2024
WELL EDUCATED 3.49 Carlisle 9/1 each way – A previous C&D winner, WELL EDUCATED ran respectably when finishing sixth of 11 in a handicap hurdle here last month. He’s well-placed to secure at least a place this time.
Today's LB comes from Each Way Morning Tips
GET EVERYDAY'S LUCKY 15 FROM FRT HERE
Previous Selections November
ALRAZEEN 8.00 Wolverhampton 10/1 each way – ALRAZEEN didn’t respond well to the blinkers last time, but his close second over this C&D two starts back suggests there’s more to come. If back on form, he could make his presence felt.
Today's LB comes from Shrewd Tips
TODAY'S LUCKY 15
COME ON TEDDY 1.10 Cheltenham 11/4 – COME ON TEDDY kicks off the new season looking potentially well-treated for his new yard, and with a top Irish amateur booked, he could be the one to side with.
ISABELLA BEE 1.53 Uttoxeter 3/1 – ISABELLA BEE was shaping as though she was back to her best before an unfortunate fall at Ludlow's tricky fourth last. She’s worth another chance to show what she can do.
HAMSIYANN 3.30 Cheltenham 9/4 – Tony Martin landed this race two years ago and looks to have another strong contender in HAMSIYANN. This 4-y-o showed progressive form over hurdles last season and ran a career-best on the Flat when second to his stablemate in the Chester Plate back in May. Still unexposed at this trip and looking well-handicapped, he’s a major player.
LAURENS DREAM 5.18 Newcastle 9/4 – LAURENS DREAM is likely to benefit from a strong pace now dropped to 6f. She impressed when winning on her all-weather debut over 7f here on Monday, and with more improvement expected, she gets the vote.
🏇TODAY'S LITTLE BEAUTY
ALBASHEER 3:48 Newcastle 15/2 each way – Was foiled by a combination of racing keenly without much cover, together with his wide draw when we had him at Dundalk last time. But he still managed to stay on into 5th behind the shock winner ‘Ostraka’ suggesting the step back to 6f would suit.
He’s won here over 6f in the past but has struggled over this trip the last twice due to his familiar trait of over-racing.
But his last run was in a hot group 3 where he found himself in the lead, and although that might again be the case, he does have a couple of potential front runners close to him in the form of race-favourite Night Raider in stall 10, and Golden Mind in stall 9, and with the potential of the rail to help from stall 11, I’m going to give him a shout despite probably being better over 5f, and not having his usual jockey Hollie Doyle in the saddle.
CLAP OF THUNDER 4.00 Cheltenham 12/1 each way – CLAP OF THUNDER got off the mark on his second attempt over hurdles, comfortably beating five rivals in a 2m novice at Ascot 13 days ago. He also placed in three of his four starts in bumpers last season. He looks an interesting contender with this quick move into handicap company.
Today's LB comes from Each Way Morning Tips
CARO DES FLOS 2.05 Market Rasen 9/1 each way – The seasoned CARO DES FLOS notched the first of his Market Rasen double in this race last winter. He made a decent return when finishing fifth of ten after a four-month break at Ludlow. Now easing another 3 lb, he looks a real threat back at his familiar ground.
Today's LB comes from Each Way Morning Tip
WEST TO THE BRIDGE 3.35 Bangor 9/1 each way Placed – WEST TO THE BRIDGE looks ready to go after last month’s return, and with his mark now at a low point, he’s one to consider here.
CAT TIGER 1.35 Lingfield 9/1 each way – CAT TIGER has shown real ability over fences in the past and looked a bit rusty last time after a 4-month break. With cheekpieces now added, he’s likely to step up his game.
Today's LB comes from Each Way Morning Tips
STORM ASSET 7.45 Wolverhampton 14/1 each way – Dual course winner STORM ASSET has placed on the all-weather in his last two outings and should be in the mix again, especially with the drop back in trip.
Today's LB comes from Each Way Morning Tips
TEN BOB TONY 1:20 Doncaster 13/2 each way – ‘Room Service’ who went close at York last time runs in this race, but at around 5/2 stepping up to listed class, I can’t have him.
TBT, however, is already proven in this grade and higher, having run well in a group 2 in Germany, plus 2nd behind the progressive French runner ‘Topgear’ (finished 8th in the Guineas too) who again beat him at Newmarket in group 2 last time.
This race looks a league below, and back on softer ground dropping to 6f, he looks a tad overpriced.
CABLE BEACH 6:45 Newcastle 11/1 each way – Quite a poor race, full of out of form horses and looks to be crying out for one of the less exposed types to go and win, with the obvious pick being the shortish priced fav who won in a very good time when dropping to this 6f trip last time.
But one right at the bottom of the weights is Cable Beach, who’s only had 3 runs and wasn’t asked for much in any of them.
But he was a bit of an eye-catcher at Southwell on debut, then on his last two starts which were both at this track, he ran OK for a while over 7f on his penultimate start, and then last time he was given a very soft time held up in rear off a sedate pace.
He’s been handed an opening mark of just 55, and with those two Newcastle runs under his belt, he can hopefully be ‘let go’ in this race and make it third time lucky.
SIRIUS WHITE 11.40 Southwell 8/1 each way WON – SIRIUS WHITE quickly returned to form when finishing third of 10 in a handicap at Carlisle three months back, benefiting from a stamina-focused race. Back on the all-weather now, he looks likely to be in the mix.
GISELLES IZZY 2.35 Musselburgh 10/1 each way – GISELLES IZZY landed her last win at Ayr in August but looks to have been given a chance by the handicapper since then. And with the same jockey taking over the reins, she may be able to go in again.
JANNAS JOURNEY 6:30 Newcastle 25/1 each way – Doesn’t jump out as a potential handicap winner after perhaps not showing a great deal in her 3 races to date. But I thought she ran quite well on debut for a way over 7.5f at Beverley behind the smart winner, and then the last twice when dropped in trip, she was given an easy time in both those races.
Firstly with her breaking slowly at Redcar and getting lit up, then last time at this track none of the jockey’s riding behind the 2/13 odds-on fav wanted to show their hands to the handicapper, and all bar the winner of the race were given ‘disguised rides’.
She steps back up in trip here, and off an opening mark of 55 and with Oisin Orr booked to ride, she might be overpriced.
BELL SHOT 4.02 Kempton 7/1 each way – BELL SHOT has a recent run to put behind him, but he’s generally consistent, and the setup of this race should suit him well.
LUCKY 15
TEDLEY 1.15 Wetherby 3/1 – TEDLEY looked right at home on his chase debut with a winning comeback at Uttoxeter two weeks ago. He’s fancied to follow up here, provided this run doesn’t come too soon.
FAITHFULFLYER 1.58 Ayr 9/4 – FAITHFULFLYER heads into this on the back of a career-best second at Kelso last month and earns the vote today.
MASTER CHEWY 2.05 Ascot 11/4 – MASTER CHEWY had a standout first season over fences and looks well-placed to make the most of his handy mark in handicap company on his return.
TRIBAL CHIEF 2.17 Newmarket 2/1 – TRIBAL CHIEF continues to make strides and, after an impressive Yarmouth win last time, could well overcome a 9 lb rise to land the four-timer.
🏇TODAY'S LITTLE BEAUTY
PINJARRA 5:20 Southwell 11/1 each way – A bit of a flyer in the sense that he’s not been seen since running well at Chelmsford as a 2yo a year ago.
But he’s a nice looking type who’s shown ability in all of his 3 races to date and returns to race after having both a wind op, and a gelding operation.
But what’s most notable is his yards record the last two years with its horses returning from a gelding op which is 2 winners from 10, and even more notable are both those winners were returning from a lengthy break as a 3yo for their handicap debuts. He’s well draw in stall and looks worth risking off a mark of 67.
FIHRAYNE 2.52 Newmarket 12/1 each way – FIHRAYNE has shown some generally solid form leading up to a disappointing run at Windsor, where testing ground likely didn’t suit. She could well bounce back in this.
Previous Selections October
HOW AND EVER 3.35 Stratford 10/1 each way – HOW AND EVER has taken one win from his two handicap hurdle starts so far. Now moving to chasing, he’s still lightly raced and looks the type to make an impact here.GLAMOROUS EXPRESS 6.30 Kempton 8/1 each way – GLAMOROUS EXPRESS didn’t show his best with an eighth-place finish at Southwell two weeks back, but as a C&D winner, he’s the type to bounce back.
ULTRA BEAT 2.22 Bangor 17/2 each way PLACED – ULTRA BEAT showed ability when placing in his sole point-to-point and stepped up notably over hurdles when finishing third in a 14-runner novice at Ffos Las in May. With a switch to fences and a first run in handicap company, he’s one to watch.
MERCURIUS POWER 8.30 Southwell 11/1 each way – MERCURIUS POWER is just 2 lb higher than his C&D win in August, and he’s a threat to the field returning fresh from a short break.
NAANAS SPARKLE 4:55 Chelmsford 17/2 each way – Has run quite well in both his two races to date, with his debut run looking especially strong form, keeping on well behind 3 rivals, 2 of which have run, and both have won.
He’s been gelded since his last run and comes from a yard with an excellent record with it’s newly gelded inmates, and from a nice draw making his all-weather debut, I think he looks worth risking at the price for a yard that won this race in 2022 with ‘Distinguished Lady’
JILAIJONE 4.45 Cheltenham 17/2 each way – JILAIJONE faded quickly at Sandown and didn’t quite measure up in the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury, but he showed some improvement at Fakenham in his final outing. With the handicapper giving him some leeway, he could make a solid return.
FAERIE CUTLASS 3.55 Ludlow 15/2 each way Placed – FAERIE CUTLASS was a winner at Worcester back in May 2023 and has been consistent since, including a solid third in a Warwick handicap last month. She’s 1 lb better off now and looks well capable of making an impact.
SKELLIG ISLE 4.35 Kempton 9/1 each way – SKELLIG ISLE put in a strong performance over this C&D two weeks ago, finishing third, and looks capable of making her mark again.
GET SHIRTY 4.15 Newcastle 11/1 each way – GET SHIRTY is down to a very workable mark now and should be well in contention if he recaptures the form that saw him finish a solid fourth in the Ascot Stakes back in June.
PARADISE LOST 5.35 Gowran Park 13/2 each way – PARADISE LOST secured his first win at Roscommon last week, and though he’ll be facing a 5lb rise, he has previous course form, so another strong performance seems likely.
SPYCATCHER 1:55 Ascot 20/1 each way – Has been disappointing the last twice after his soft ground win in Deaville, including at The Curragh when we had him last time.
But he’s had excuses in that the ground wasn’t soft enough (Forecast rain never arrived when we had him) plus he raced on the wrong strip of ground near the rail at Haydock on his penultimate start.
His record on soft ground is far better than any other type of terrain, in fact he’s only finished out of the top 4 once in 9 starts on soft, plus he ran well in this race last year when finishing a slightly unlucky 3rd. He’s got a handy looking draw in stall 10, and back on his ideal ground, I think he looks a tad overpriced.
AUTUMN RETURN 2.45 Uttoxeter 15/2 each way – AUTUMN RETURN, an Irish point and bumper winner, quickly made a name as a reliable hurdler with four wins. He marked his return with a gutsy victory in a 4-runner handicap at Perth three weeks ago and looks capable of running well again.
PALLANTINE HILLS 12:45 Curragh 16/1 each way – Still looks a bit raw, but he’s improved with each of his three runs and looked a little unlucky to finish only 10th of 14 last time at this track over 1m 1f, as he got a little short of room on the rail for some way.
He’s still to be given a handicap mark so there’s a small chance that he’ll be ridden with nurseries in mind. But in a race without any top 2yo trainers from the likes of Aiden O’brien/Ger Lyons runners and only one real big player in ‘Cap Saint Martin’ trained by Joseph O’Brien, who blew the start last time and could do again, there’s plenty of place money available, so hopefully he’ll be ridden to finish in the places at the very least.
He’s down a furlong which given his early keenness last time should suit, and racing on softer ground for the first time I’m hoping those two factors can work in his favour.
HAWKSEYE VIEW 4.30 Wetherby 16/1 each way – HAWKSEYE VIEW showed some decent form over hurdles last season, placing twice, and gave a good account of himself on his final start. Now switching focus to chasing, he could be one to watch.
MERIDIAN WAY 4.25 Newcastle 10/1 each way – MERIDIAN WAY hasn’t shown a lot so far, but his breeding suggests there’s more to come, especially with this longer trip in his favour. He could be worth a chance on his handicap debut.
NIBRAS ANGEL 3.50 Musselburgh 15/2 each way – NIBRAS ANGEL bounced back to form with a solid third at Newmarket recently and should be in contention based on that performance.
MALC 2:40 York 11/1 each way – 3yo’s don’t have a great record in this race, but the form of the 3yo’s in this field strongly eclipses that of most of their older rivals as most are bang out of form.
For that reason, I’m going to put another 3yo onside in the form of Malc, who ran well in the same listed race as Room Service at Newbury in May. His best form though was arguably when staying on strongly over 5f on soft ground behind the smart Big Evs at Doncaster last year.
He disappointed last time at Royal Ascot, but that was in the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup, no less, and given the lightning-quick ground they had that day, makes the run easily forgivable.
This will be the first time he’s run on soft ground since Donny, and if conditions suit, then competing in a handicap for the first time should see him run well.
MISS FASCINATOR 2.25 Newmarket 11/1 each way – MISS FASCINATOR is on an upward curve, having won a 7f nursery at Newmarket in August before an excellent runner-up finish in a Group 3 at Salisbury last month. She’s in great form and holds solid claims here
ALFA WHITEBURD 6.00 Southwell 8/1 each way WON – ALFA WHITEBURD came through late to score at Newcastle last month, and despite a 2lb rise, it’s unlikely to hinder him too much. He’s respected for a strong follow-up performance.
DESPARATE DAN 4.17 Nottingham 17/2 each way WON – DESPARATE DAN finished a solid third in a Newmarket handicap 13 days ago, and with stamina likely to be key, he’s well-suited to these underfoot conditions again. He deserves some respect here
INTERNATIONAL GIRL 19:30 Southwell 11/1 each way PLACED – Has had just 7 races this year and won only one of them, at what’s probably her favourite track at Ripon.
But she’s had valid excuses (besides not racing at Ripon) in her 4 other races away from t he North Yorkshire venue, largely down to little luck in the run, together with the wrong trip/ground the last twice.
She's only raced on an artificial surface twice, finishing 2nd each time at both Newcastle and Wolverhampton, which were both open races for both sexes.
She’s racing against females only, and if enjoying the return to synthetics after just over 12 months, then with an ideal draw, she should go well.
GOOD MORNING ALEX 3.02 Pontefract 17/2 each way – GOOD MORNING ALEX has had a fantastic year and should be ready to resume winning ways after a couple of good runs in stronger contests following a mid-season break.
LA PASSIONARIA 1:30 Newmarket 12/1 each way – Improved the last twice when stepping up in distance where, despite finishing well beaten both times, she was running in group 3 races after returning from a 193-day break, which suggested connections were confident of improvement now tackling these middle distances.
She drops into handicap company back on easy ground, which should be a little less testing than that of her debut win at Salisbury where she beat Irish Derby 4th ‘Matsuri’, who is now rated a whopping 114. Unsurprisingly, 3yo’s have an excellent record in this race, having won 6 of the last 8 renewals, and with Ralph Beckett’s 3yo’s performing particularly well, she looks worth backing at 12/1.
ROCK ON JET 2.55 Hexham 7/1 each way – ROCK ON JET was second in both point-to-point races and ran better than the result suggests in a Cork bumper. He showed promise again when third on his hurdles debut over C&D in May, so there's more to come in this sphere.
DIPLOMATIE 4.40 Southwell 8/1 each way PLACED – DIPLOMATIE enjoyed a good run in Jersey over the summer and now joins a stable known for getting the best out of new arrivals. She’s one to keep an eye on.
NAOMHI 4.00 Kempton 14/1 each way – NAOMHI showed some promise on debut in an all-weather bumper and followed that up by finishing a decent fifth when switching to the Flat here six months later. She’s stepping back up in trip now and could improve.
TRAILBLAZER 1.50 Sedgefield 17/2 each way –
TRAILBLAZER broke his maiden at Perth over the summer, and now, back on better ground and at what looks his ideal trip, he gets the nod to get back to winning ways.
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